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вторник, 11 декември 2012 г.

U.S. strikes against Iran pose a risk of full-scale war in the Middle East


Any U.S. military strike against Iran would undermine political control of the regime and weaken its capacity to inflict retaliatory strikes. But Iranians will likely able to respond directly or through their proxies, which threatens palmomashtabna war in the Middle East. This was announced in April, citing the findings of a report on the pros and cons of a possible military operation.

Estimated in the analysis of continuous attacks by the United States could destroy the most important nuclear facilities of Iran and weaken its military forces, but they will only slow - but not stop - drive the Islamic Republic from acquiring a nuclear bomb.

The document is composed of former government officials, national security experts and retired military officers. The most important conclusion from this is that to achieve a great result from a temporary disruption of Iran's nuclear program would require military action - including land and land - worse than the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan combined.

One of the key arguments against such attacks against the Islamic Republic that would cement the image of the U.S. as anti-Muslim country. This idea is related to the Washington-led invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan and confirmed by anti-Islam film trailer, which can be the cause of the deadly attack on the U.S. embassy in Libya.

"Planners and practitioners should be aware that the unrest that followed the appearance of the trailer for a short film on the internet, probably only a fraction of what can happen after a collision - the Israelis and the United States - against Iran," said retired Lieutenant General Gregory Newbold, one of the signatories of the report and former head of operations at the Council of Chiefs of Staff of the Armed Forces of the United States.

Other documents signed include former national security adviser to George Bush Jr., Brent Scowcroft, former pom. Secretary of State Richard Armitage, former Senators Sam Nunn and Chuck Hagel, and two heads of U.S. Central Command, Gen.. a Marine Anthony Zinni and Admiral William Fallon.

According to the analysis of possible campaign with more ambitious goals such as the overthrow of the Iranian regime by hardline clerics or undermining the Iranian influence in the Middle East will require the U.S. to occupy part of Iran or across the country.

"Given the huge size and population of Iran and Iranian power of nationalism in our estimates for the occupation of Iran will take more resources and personnel than the U.S. deployment in Iraq and Afghanistan over the past 10 years combined," stated in report.

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